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Italian auto industry gliding Down Due to effects of nationwide lockdown

New Opel automobiles, manufactured by Adam Opel AG, sit with other marques on the dockside before export at the car terminal in the Port of Piraeus, operated by Piraeus Port Authority SA, in Piraeus, Greece, on Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2015. Greece is aiming to lease 14 regional airports and line up the sale of a majority stake in the port of Piraeus before the end of the year as the government attempts to rev up asset sales that have consistently failed to live up to expectations through successive bailouts. Photographer: Kostas Tsironis/Bloomberg

TURIN – The Italian automotive industry is bracing for potential fallout from a nationwide lockdown to stop the spread of the coronavirus that has killed nearly 500 people in the country.

Italy’s prime minister has called the outbreak the country’s “darkest hour,” inviting comparisons to the U.K. during World War II. The effects, both psychological and economic, could be devastating as the government struggles to contain the damage.

“We need to change our habits right now,” Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte said at an unscheduled news conference Monday evening. He ordered the of nation of more than 60 million people to “stay at home” as he explained that “we are forced to impose sacrifices.”

Despite the dire warnings automakers and suppliers continued to operate on Tuesday.

“So far there is no change in the measures we have taken,” a Fiat Chrysler Automobiles spokesman told Automotive News Europe. “We are evaluating whether further measures will be necessary.”

FCA said that there have been no problems thus far receiving parts from suppliers.

When asked about the status of its retail network in Italy, the spokesman said, “So far they are open, although customer traffic is low.”

Ferrari, Maserati and several vehicle component suppliers contacted by ANE also said they were open for business on Tuesday.

This was possible because Italy’s lockdown includes a provision for “proven working needs.” That means employees are allowed to go to their jobs.

At FCA the option to work from home, which previously was limited to specific cases, has been extended to employees at all the company’s facilities as long as their absence is compatible with the automaker’s production needs.

Since Monday, Maserati has only required essential employees to report to work at its facilities in the Modena area. All others will work from home. Maserati employees about 1,350 at three locations in the Modena area.

Ferrari has said it will continue to operate as long as it keeps getting the components it requires from suppliers. Short-term hit

Italy’s Finance Ministry said Monday that the country is better off taking a short-term economic hit now to prevent a wider economic crisis. The government has amped up spending to 7.5 billion euros ($8.5 billion) to help cushion the economic impact of the virus.

The Milan stock exchange opened higher Tuesday after an 11 percent drop on Monday. The benchmark FTSE MIB index gained as much as 1.1 percent and was up 0.7 percent at 9:05 a.m. local time on Tuesday. The yield spread between Italian bonds and their German counterparts narrowed six basis points, after widening to the highest level since August 2019 on Monday.

The overall situation in Italy is this: Schools and universities will be closed nationwide, all public events will be canceled and Italians won’t be allowed to travel without a business or health-related justification until April 3.

Now that Conte has sounded a global alarm, questions linger about the enforceability in Western economies of the kind of draconian measures needed to limit the number of people getting infected. The country’s health system is on the brink of collapse — and the obstacles Italy is up against in practical terms are much greater than what China carried out in part of the country.

Chinese authorities didn’t impose travel restrictions nationwide, instead training their focus only on the most impacted province, Hubei in the country’s center. It locked down a handful of cities — including Wuhan where the pathogen is thought to have originated — stopping air and rail travel and restricting those who could leave by car.

The move restricted the virus largely within Hubei, causing cases in the region to multiply dramatically throughout February and stretching medical resources. Hubei set up temporary hospitals in gymnasiums and auditoriums, and people waited for hours in order to be tested or treated. The outbreak was more manageable across the rest of the country.

The impact of the national lockdown won’t become clear for at least a month, Giovanni Rezza, head of the infectious diseases department at the Superior Health Institute told Corriere della Sera. “What matters more than government measures is how individuals behave. People haven’t realized how much they’re at risk.”

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